ENARADA, Bangalore, April 25, 2013:
Good news for the Congress party which has been deprived of power in state from the past nine years.
According to a pre-poll survey conducted by CSDS for CNN-IBN channel and the Week magazine, the Congress is estimated to get between 117-129 seats against just 39-49 for the Bharatiya Janata Party . JD(S) is expected to get 34 to 44 seats. And the others are expected to get 14 to 22 seats.
According to the survey, the Congress is likely to secure highest votes with a 37 percent vote share indicating a gain of 2 percent over 2008 poll. The BJP is likely to get only 23 percent of votes – a significant fall of 11 percent compared to its performance in last assembly election.
The Janata Dal (Secular) is expected to gain 1 per cent, earning a vote share of 20 per cent. Yeddyurappa’s newly formed Karnataka Janata Paksha makes an entry and is expected to bag 7 per cent of the vote share.
A total of 4,198 persons were interviewed from April 10–17, 2013, in 75 constituencies across Karnataka. The survey was conducted a week before the Election Commission released the final list of candidates and nearly three weeks before the polls on May 5.
In a region-wise analysis, the pre-poll survey suggests the Congress is likely to consolidate and lead over BJP in four regions of Hyderabad Karnataka, Mumbai Karnataka, central Karnataka and Bangalore.
In coastal Karnataka it is likely to be a close race between the BJP and the Congress and a close contest between the JD-S and the Congress in southern Karnataka. In central Karnataka, the KJP is likely to dent the BJP’s base.
UPA 3 or NDA 2 ? What is your Choice ?
Our country is facing a long list of Economic and Social problems
Many of these require enacting new legislation
Equal number require strict implementation of existing laws
Solutions of quite a few problems , need bold / innovative and often , unpopular steps demanding deep sacrifices from different sections of our society
All of these need,
A heightened sense of co-operation ( National interest comes first )
Willingness to reach compromises ( win some / lose some )
An acute sense of urgency ( get going now / improve along the way )
Unfortunately , during the past few years , hardly any progress could be made towards Political / Social / Economic reforms , since no single political party got an absolute majority in the Lok Sabha
And , unless the Indian voters understand the shortcomings of the Coalition Government and decide to give one party ( it does not matter which ) , an absolute majority in the forthcoming 2014 national elections , we can expect repetition of the history !
No Government which has to hopelessly depend upon its coalition partners , can carry out the desired reforms
I believe , any major national party ( only Congress and BJP ? ) , which gets less than 275 seats in Lok Sabha , will continue to be blackmailed by its coalition partners
And it would make absolutely no difference whether Rahul Gandhi or Narendra Modi heads UPA 3 or NDA 2 , as the Prime Minister !
Either would be an impotent puppet of “ Coalition Dharma “ where corrupt partners dictate the shape of reforms !
It is simple
Either we give 300 seats to a single party or we continue to suffer for another 5 years !
Remember , an imperfect decision is any day better than No Decision !
• hemen parekh